← Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive HVN Regionals #2
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive HVN Regionals #2
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 19.8% | 7 | 2-5-0 | 28.6% | 36.4% | 41.3% | -4.4 |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.3% | -6.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.1% | -2.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -8.9 |
| Wind Allies | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.7 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -8.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Guo Jia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.4% | -9.2 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.8 |
| Wind Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 20 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Uncover the Plot | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Planted Explosive | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Striking Illuminance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Exploit Vulnerability | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gawain, Chivalrous Thief | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Juggle Knives | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |